Apologies for taking so long to follow up on the probability post. I was floored by its engagement on Hacker News, with over 200 thoughtful comments! I’ve revised the post to incorporate all your feedback.
Now to unveil the secret behind that post: it was a part of my preparation for a very ambitious research project concerning the arrow of time. This has occupied all of my writing energy, hence the absence from blogging. I’ve since completed that paper and presented it to Prof. Marcus Hutter’s group.
You may download the presentation slides or the full paper, and reach out to me with any questions or comments. I look forward to collaborating on closely related topics! Naturally, this means I’m not done talking about probability and induction. Please stay tuned :)